System dynamics modeling for predicting the impact of tutoring on student retention in the school of engineering

Student retention is a persistent problem in many educational institutions, and we seek to address this issue through the implementation of tutoring programs. To achieve this objective, system dynamics (SD) modeling is proposed as a method. This analytical tool allows simulating and predicting the behavior of a complex system over time, considering the interactions between its components. The main objective of this research is to perform SD modeling to improve student retention through tutoring. It seeks to design more effective and personalized tutoring programs, adapted to the specific needs and challenges of the institution's students. The results obtained show that, in the period between 2022 and 2026, research degrees will be encouraged, reaching 50% participation. This increase is considered a positive indicator that encourages universities to become research protagonists. In conclusion, SD modeling makes it possible to forecast and strategically plan the expected results in terms of student retention. This method provides tools to more effectively address the problem of retention, ensuring the academic success of students and promoting the participation of universities in research.