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Global Stability and Computational Analysis of a Nonlinear SIR Model with Vaccination, Waning Immunity, and Immune Boosting: Global Stability of a Nonlinear SIR Model with Vaccination

Research output: Contribution to journalOriginal Articlepeer-review

Abstract

We propose and analyze a nonlinear SIR-type model incorporating vaccination,waning immunity, partial reinfection, and immune boosting within a demographi-cally regulated population. The transmission process follows a saturating incidencefunction accounting for behavioral adaptation, while the immunity dynamics dependon an infection-modulated effective waning rate. Analytical results establish well-posedness, positivity, and uniform boundedness of solutions, ensuring biologicalconsistency. The basic reproduction number Ro is derived via the next-generationmatrix method and determines the epidemic threshold. Local and global stabilityanalyses reveal that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stablewhen Ro< 1, whereas a unique endemic equilibrium exists for Ro> 1. Numericalsimulations confirm the theoretical predictions and illustrate convergence toward theendemic equilibrium under various epidemiological conditions. The computationalanalysis highlights the combined effects of vaccination coverage, immune boosting,and partial reinfection on long-term epidemic persistence, offering quantitative in-sights for immunization strategies and disease control.
Translated title of the contributionEstabilidad global y análisis computacional de un modelo SIR no lineal con vacunación, disminución de la inmunidad y refuerzo inmunológico.: Estabilidad global de un modelo SIR no lineal con vacunación
Original languageAmerican English
Pages (from-to)170
Number of pages211
JournalProyecciones
Volume45
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - 15 May 2026

Bibliographical note

N. Pino-Romero and E. F. Haya-Enríquez, “Global Stability and Computational Analysis of a Nonlinear SIR Model with Vaccination, Waning Immunity, and Immune Boosting”, Proyecciones (Antofagasta, On line), vol. 45, no. 2, pp. 170–211, May 2026, doi: 10.22199/issn.0717-6279-7082.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
  2. SDG 4 - Quality Education
    SDG 4 Quality Education

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